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 Post subject: Have we been sold a pup?
PostPosted: 18 Feb 2013 15:48 
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The multi-billion-dollar F-35 Joint Strike Fighter chosen by Australia as its replacement combat aircraft is again flying through turbulence, with strong criticism from a Pentagon general about the system used to build it.

The Joint Strike Fighter has been billed as the smartest fighter jet on the planet, designed to strike enemies in the air and on the ground without being detected by radar.

But Australia's most expensive defence acquisition has experienced soaring costs and is now at least five years late.

US Air Force Lieutenant General Chris Bogdan, who has recently taken over as head of the JSF project team, says putting the plane into production before it has been tested properly - a process called concurrency - has caused major problems.

"A large amount of concurrency, that is, beginning production long before your design is stable and long before you've found problems in test, creates downstream issues where now you have to go back and retrofit airplanes and make sure the production line has those fixes in them. And that drives complexity and cost," he told tonight's Four Corners.



http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-02-18/p ... er/4524962

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In a statement to Four Corners, Angus Houston said: "The System Design and Development phase was non-binding and the Australian Government could opt out if it so wished."

He added: "I am still convinced that the JSF is the right air combat aircraft to meet Australia's future security needs."



May we have some F-22s, please?

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PostPosted: 18 Feb 2013 16:11 
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Let me preface by saying that I am generally in favor of the USA having the best quality weapons systems available so that we can maximize the effectiveness of every war fighter so that we don't have to have as many of them.

But I've been watching the JSF situation for many years and am rapidly coming to the conclusion that it is an irrecoverable boondoggle. It is far too expensive and I am not sure of the wisdom of mass producing a backbone of highly stealthy fighters in the first place because of the massive performance compromises that stealth requires.

If we had a choice, I would recommend we cancel JSF and go back to the drawing board. At this point that is not an option.

Even the F22, even if its production line had not been disassembled, is not a suitable plane to use instead of th. JSF. So you don't want them, even if you could have them.

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PostPosted: 18 Feb 2013 16:21 
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Jeff,

Perhaps it is because we can't have the F-22 that we want it so much.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 10:53 
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Kardinal wrote:
Let me preface by saying that I am generally in favor of the USA having the best quality weapons systems available so that we can maximize the effectiveness of every war fighter so that we don't have to have as many of them.

But I've been watching the JSF situation for many years and am rapidly coming to the conclusion that it is an irrecoverable boondoggle. It is far too expensive and I am not sure of the wisdom of mass producing a backbone of highly stealthy fighters in the first place because of the massive performance compromises that stealth requires.

If we had a choice, I would recommend we cancel JSF and go back to the drawing board. At this point that is not an option.

Even the F22, even if its production line had not been disassembled, is not a suitable plane to use instead of th. JSF. So you don't want them, even if you could have them.


Admittedly the JSF program should have spent more time in development testing however, the problems with the aircraft are far from "irrecoverable". The attributes of the fighter go far beyond being stealthy, being stealthy in the high-tech war arenas of today is a practical necessity by the way, but this fighter exceeds the maneuverability and war-fighting capability of the Harrier and many other international fighters as demonstrated in flight testing. The smart thing to do at this time is step back a bit and let the various contractors solve the known issues, cancellation would be insanely expensive and counterproductive to national security.

The capability of the F-22, a super-maneuverable, very high-speed fighter is by design incompatible with the design concept of the JSF, we cannot equate the two. I would think any ally would be well served by the F-16, F-22 and with a bit of design resolution, the JSF.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 11:15 
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bali wrote:
Admittedly the JSF program should have spent more time in development testing however, the problems with the aircraft are far from "irrecoverable".

I disagree. The problem is in the concept of the fighter, IMO, not just in its execution.

bali wrote:
The attributes of the fighter go far beyond being stealthy, but this fighter exceeds the maneuverability and war-fighting capability of the Harrier and many other international fighters as demonstrated in flight testing.

Of course. But the Harrier is about the least-capable frontline fighter out there. It's probably not as maneuverable or as fast or able to carry the same warload as the Typhoon or the Rafale or even the F-15 or the Su-37 (which are previous gen fighters) because those systems don't compromise those functionalities in the name of stealth.

bali wrote:
being stealthy in the high-tech war arenas of today is a practical necessity by the way,

Oddly, the US is the ONLY nation that believes this. Even the next-gen fighters coming out of Russia are not full-on stealth systems. I believe that the penetration bombers, cruise missiles, attack aircraft, and air dominance fighters need to be stealthy, but not EVERY fighter needs to be. That's precisely why we have 50 B-2's and 500 B-52's.

bali wrote:
The capability of the F-22, a super-maneuverable, very high-speed fighter is by design incompatible with the design concept of the JSF, we cannot equate the two.

Correct. Which is why I told James that the F-22 is not suitable to replace the JSF.

bali wrote:
I would think any ally would be well served by the F-16, F-22 and with a bit of design resolution, the JSF.

But
a) F-22's cannot be manufactured anymore.
b) Even if they could, the USA won't let anyone else buy them.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 11:36 
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Kardinal wrote:
bali wrote:
Admittedly the JSF program should have spent more time in development testing however, the problems with the aircraft are far from "irrecoverable".

I disagree. The problem is in the concept of the fighter, IMO, not just in its execution.

bali wrote:
The attributes of the fighter go far beyond being stealthy, but this fighter exceeds the maneuverability and war-fighting capability of the Harrier and many other international fighters as demonstrated in flight testing.

Of course. But the Harrier is about the least-capable frontline fighter out there. It's probably not as maneuverable or as fast or able to carry the same warload as the Typhoon or the Rafale or even the F-15 or the Su-37 (which are previous gen fighters) because those systems don't compromise those functionalities in the name of stealth.

bali wrote:
being stealthy in the high-tech war arenas of today is a practical necessity by the way,

Oddly, the US is the ONLY nation that believes this. Even the next-gen fighters coming out of Russia are not full-on stealth systems. I believe that the penetration bombers, cruise missiles, attack aircraft, and air dominance fighters need to be stealthy, but not EVERY fighter needs to be. That's precisely why we have 50 B-2's and 500 B-52's.

bali wrote:
The capability of the F-22, a super-maneuverable, very high-speed fighter is by design incompatible with the design concept of the JSF, we cannot equate the two.

Correct. Which is why I told James that the F-22 is not suitable to replace the JSF.

bali wrote:
I would think any ally would be well served by the F-16, F-22 and with a bit of design resolution, the JSF.

But
a) F-22's cannot be manufactured anymore.
b) Even if they could, the USA won't let anyone else buy them.


Jeff, I'll let my forty years in aerospace engineering guide my opinion. I've been around government contracts long enough to fully understand the pressure to hurry-up imposed on prime contractors and subsequently on all the subs; it is very typical for a government contracted product to be coerced onto the market before the product is fully proofed.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 11:42 
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bali wrote:
...

Jeff, I'll let my forty years in aerospace engineering guide my opinion. I've been around government contracts long enough to fully understand the pressure to hurry-up imposed on prime contractors and subsequently on all the subs; it is very typical for a government contracted product to be coerced onto the market before the product is fully proofed.
This reminds me of Nancy Pelosi and Obamacare. We'll find the problems once its operational. :roll:

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 12:09 
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bali wrote:
Jeff, I'll let my forty years in aerospace engineering guide my opinion. I've been around government contracts long enough to fully understand the pressure to hurry-up imposed on prime contractors and subsequently on all the subs; it is very typical for a government contracted product to be coerced onto the market before the product is fully proofed.

Of course it is. But one of the problems that's going on right now, that may not have been the case in the past, is that the services don't really know, and don't really communicate, what they want. It's also driving the boondoggle that is the LCS.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 14:45 
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Jeff,

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...the USA won't let anyone else buy them.


That was my point.

Similarly, a number of American commanders in Afghanistan have been impressed by the Bushmaster. Again, American law forbids that the Marines have any. (A pity. I'm sure we could negotiate a reasonable price.)

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 15:13 
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Kardinal wrote:
bali wrote:
Jeff, I'll let my forty years in aerospace engineering guide my opinion. I've been around government contracts long enough to fully understand the pressure to hurry-up imposed on prime contractors and subsequently on all the subs; it is very typical for a government contracted product to be coerced onto the market before the product is fully proofed.

Of course it is. But one of the problems that's going on right now, that may not have been the case in the past, is that the services don't really know, and don't really communicate, what they want. It's also driving the boondoggle that is the LCS.


You may not be aware of the magnitude of the truth in that statement. I can't count the number of times we had to drop everything because of a sudden "urgent" change request. Not only do we often have to deal with fairly inexperienced AF captains but the government also employs outside technical adviser/overseer agencies that also have the clout to tamper with the contract and recommend spec changes. Often the first significant technical review by a senior officer, O-5 or higher, is after the design is pretty well in cement; changes at that point are costly, time consuming and often risky.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 15:23 
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Bob,

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...it is very typical for a government contracted product to be coerced onto the market before the product is fully proofed.


This is a little different. See what the ABC piece says about "concurrency".

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 17:35 
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Seamas O Dalaigh wrote:
Bob,

Quote:
...it is very typical for a government contracted product to be coerced onto the market before the product is fully proofed.


This is a little different. See what the ABC piece says about "concurrency".


Maybe I read it wrong but it seems to say the same thing, less the coercion aspect. I agree with the ABC article for the most part, the aircraft was brought out before its design and manufacturing processes were fully tested. That problem is not always entirely of the prime contractor's doing; the contractors at this level of prestige cannot afford to be cavalier, to lay decades of engineering experience and ethical performance aside and when one is found doing so there is likely something beyond the contractor driving it.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 19:00 
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Here's a link to the full Four Corners program broadcast last Monday night.

http://www.abc.net.au/4corners/stories/ ... 690317.htm


(Some nice flight sequences.)

I'm guessing the "secret weapon" is the B61.

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PostPosted: 19 Feb 2013 19:07 
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Bob,

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...the contractors at this level of prestige cannot afford to be cavalier


Hence the secret deal with John Howard in a Washington hotel?

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PostPosted: 20 Feb 2013 07:42 
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Seamas O Dalaigh wrote:
Bob,

Quote:
...the contractors at this level of prestige cannot afford to be cavalier


Hence the secret deal with John Howard in a Washington hotel?


Sounds like your PM and Lockheed Martin were both being a bit shady, were they hiding something from the US government? Conducting private negotiations may not be the most straightforward business strategy, possibly the most common though, but that isn't cavalier in the sense of technical discipline. A glance at other current Lockheed fighters will demonstrate the ability of this company to produce the highest quality aircraft. I still propose the safest solution to the dilemma would be to stand down, catalog the issues and correct them; feuding and fuming is only going to further delay the process. As for the cost, I'd be much surprised if there were not milestone and schedule penalties in the contract which should significantly reduce Australia's pain. If there are no penalties in place, fire your contracting officer.

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PostPosted: 22 Feb 2013 18:24 
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The Pentagon has grounded all of its F-35 fighter planes after discovering a crack in part of a jet engine.

It has suspended all flights operated by the fleet of 51 aircraft while a crack in a turbine blade in one of the engines is investigated.



http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-02-23/p ... et/4535794

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PostPosted: 22 Feb 2013 18:41 
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Seamas O Dalaigh wrote:
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The Pentagon has grounded all of its F-35 fighter planes after discovering a crack in part of a jet engine.

It has suspended all flights operated by the fleet of 51 aircraft while a crack in a turbine blade in one of the engines is investigated.



http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-02-23/p ... et/4535794


As I understand it there are two engine manufacturers, Pratt and Whitney and Rolls Royce, not sure which engine had the blade failure. We will have to wait until the failure analysis determines the cause of failure which could be material, design, manufacture or stress.

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PostPosted: 01 Mar 2013 19:19 
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Matthew Bates, a spokesman for engine manufacturer Pratt & Whitney, said the Pentagon's F-35 program office had decided to lift a temporary suspension of flight operations after it conducted extensive tests on the affected engine part.

The tests showed a crack in a turbine blade stemmed from the "unique operating environment" in flight tests rather than a design flaw, he said.



http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-03-01/p ... ts/4547590

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